Ineffective Causality

If the car starts first try it's going to be a good day.

Okay, if it starts second try then it's going to be a good day.

Alright then, if there are no cars at the first intersection it's going to be a good day.

If I don't have to stop at the next set of lights she will be nice to me today.

Okay, if I can avoid changing to second gear at the next set of lights she will be nice to me today.

Alright then, if I can avoid first gear for the next two intersections she will be nice to me today.

If I can avoid looking in the rear-view mirror for thirty seconds then she actually likes me. Nailed it!

If I can hold my breath from the time I park the car to when I sit at my desk it's still going to be a good day. 

Yes!

If she's standing at the coffee machine when I go there then she likes me.

No, scrap that one.

If she talks to me before 10 am then we will get married someday.

Okay, if she talks to me before lunch time we will get married someday.

Alright then, if she talks to me before 4 pm we will get married someday.

Okay backtrack...

If I drive home and stop at no more than three intersections then she will definitely talk to me tomorrow.