Joe Biden received a pep talk from former President Bill Clinton
President Joe Biden speaks from the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, D.C., on Sept. 27, 2022.
The storm bearing down on Florida forced President Joe Biden to scrap plans to deliver a politically-charged speech in the state. But he campaigned anyway, from behind a podium in the Rose Garden.
Biden criticized Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) for wanting to endanger Medicare and Social Security; and he laid into House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy for offering an election year blueprint with “little or no detail.”
Joe Biden's delicate midterm dance
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“Last week, the Republican leader of the House unveiled what he called the ‘Commitment to America,’” Biden said in his speech Tuesday from the Rose Garden, adding, “God bless America.”
The moment may have been refashioned by Hurricane Ian. But it reflected the approach the White House hopes to adopt less than six weeks before the midterms. The president has eased into a familiar cadence: He’s raising cash for Democrats and echoing the big-picture themes the party wants emphasized; he’s doing just enough to stay visible, but not so much that he becomes a heavier anchor.
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Biden is aware — and increasingly comfortable — with the reality that he isn’t wanted everywhere. White House officials are supplementing his campaign travel with events closer to home they believe still allow him to respond to Republicans and capitalize on the bully pulpit.
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But they’re not in the business of taking too many chances. Biden himself has, to this point, been comfortable with the lighter public footprint, telling advisers that what matters is holding onto the Senate and that, if he would do more harm than help in certain races, he’d stay away. That’s an evolution from earlier this year, when the president hit a low-water mark, and he complained to aides that he was not in demand on the campaign trail, pointing to his successful efforts as a draw and even a closer in 2018, particularly in tight contests.
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Biden received a pep talk from former President Bill Clinton in May in which the former president urged the current officeholder to do more selling of what his team had done. It was a reunion of sorts for two men who had spoken ahead of the 2010 midterms and developed something of a plan for the Democratic Party to defy the odds and hold on to its congressional majorities, only to see vast aspects of it ignored or changed to a point of being unrecognizable.
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Twelve years later, Biden has embraced the idea of being helpful at a 30,000-foot level, sharpening his attacks in speeches to paint the Republicans writ large as out of touch and extreme. That, in turn, means more macro type engagement than swings on the campaign trail.
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“This is a tale as old as time. They have the same problem on the other side with Trump — do Republicans really want to stand with him?” said Claire McCaskill, former Democratic senator from Missouri, noting that Presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush were also at times asked to stay away from tight races.
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“Districts that are truly swing districts are won by the candidate that stays local, that can avoid national narratives,” said the former senator, who also kept her distance from Obama during her successful reelection bid in 2012 before losing in 2018. “If you are in a swing state or district, the last thing you need is a reminder of a polarizing figure in your party.”
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Biden’s imprint on the midterms is more acute in the barrage of TV ads that have run in the late-summer-early fall sprint to the November elections. Between Aug. 1 and last Thursday, Republicans mentioned Biden in 120,000 ads with a total spend of nearly $54 million, according to an analysis prepared for POLITICO by the ad-tracking firm AdImpact.
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Over that same time period in 2018, Democrats mentioned Trump in 68,000 ad airings backed by $30 million in spending.
Chris Hartline, the top spokesperson for Scott and the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said Biden is weighing in from on-high for one reason, and everything else is merely spin: He’s shunned by most Democratic Senate candidates. Hartline said it’s become clearer that nationalizing races likely helps the GOP — and that a lot of Democrats “rightly believe that the only way they can win is if their brand is completely independent of the Washington Democrats.”
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“The way that you deploy a president like Joe Biden, who is as unpopular as he is with Republicans and independents, is to try to juice turnout,” Hartline said of the strategy. “But it seems like he can’t see himself, and the White House won’t let people see him, as somebody who appeals to just the progressive base. They have to keep portraying him and pretending that he is a politician that has a broader appeal when the fact is he just doesn’t right now.”
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Biden’s schedule of late has been relatively light on campaigning. And when he does make out-of-town speeches, they are pegged to legislative accomplishments. Aides said that Biden will soon start averaging about two trips a week, with more in the final fortnight before the election. While final decisions have not been made about an itinerary, he will likely continue to favor visiting the Rust Belt — he has already made multiple trips to Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Ohio — over further-off locales. There remains the possibility of a Western swing.
Some of Biden’s non-campaign events have offered fellow Democrats enough policy grist to make showing up worthwhile. They also reflect the kind of gatherings endangered House and Senate candidates have explicitly told the White House they view as most helpful to them.
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In some respects, Biden’s hardest work in the midterms was done weeks ago. Tom Perriello, a former Democratic congressman from Virginia who lost his seat in the 2010 cycle, said he was struck by how frontline Democrats excitedly tweeted out photos of themselves at the White House’s celebration for the massive climate and health care package. “That was not something you saw in 2010,” he said. “This was a point at which everyone was starting to abandon [Barack] Obama — other than a few of us.”
Perriello is familiar with the dynamic. He was one of the few endangered members of Congress for whom Obama campaigned in the close of that 2010 midterm election; choosing to fully embrace the then-president and his agenda in hopes it turned out the base vote. It worked, but not enough. Perriello lost his campaign.
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http://allabouturanch.com/photo/albums/xhkb2789huha2
https://www.onfeetnation.com/photo/albums/jckx2798jadkl
https://webhitlist.com/photo/albums/cbkja68hjajkd
http://beterhbo.ning.com/photo/albums/mbhkjqw5487hajk
http://playit4ward-sanantonio.ning.com/photo/albums/hbh65bnamj8
https://elouise.cookpad-blog.jp/articles/747552
https://dyana.hashnode.dev/biden-says-the-moment-may-have-been-refashioned-by-hurricane-ian
https://zenodo.org/communities/joe-biden-has-eased-into-a-familiar-cadence/?page=1&size=20
https://www.deviantart.com/yofajpikca/journal/Biden-said-in-speech-Tuesday-from-the-Rose-Garden-931240192
https://demo.evolutionscript.com/forum/topic/145298-Biden-is-aware-and-increasingly-comfortable-with-the-reality
https://www.podchaser.com/lists/joe-biden-said-supplementing-his-campaign-travel-with-events-pc!xth9ME58HBbFXTM1
https://open.firstory.me/story/cl8n68d9202uk01ws0owzhm43
“I think President Biden has played a huge role in turning this into a choice election, pointing out the extremism of the other side and demonstrating the steady progress the Democrats represent, including directly on making the ‘American dream’ affordable again,” Perriello said. “And I think he did that largely before Labor Day in a way that has created a landscape that allows very strong Democratic candidates to close the deal in their individual races.”
White House aides are quick to note that even when a candidate eschews a visit from the president, they almost always invoke his record even if not his name. And party officials say the decision is ultimately being left to the candidates themselves.
https://ogloszenia.zycie.pl/ogloszenie/50690,joe-biden-respond-to-republicans-and-capitalize-on-the-bully-pulpit/6
https://medium.com/@dyanahansen48/biden-has-been-comfortable-with-the-lighter-public-footprint-501877e4f3fb
https://www.click4r.com/posts/g/6187541/joe-biden-urged-the-current-officeholder-to-do-more-selling
“If it makes sense for a candidate to appear with him, he’ll campaign with him. If not, he won’t,” said Adrienne Elrod, a Democratic strategist with close ties to the White House. “Each candidate will make a decision based on the shape of their own race: sometimes you run with Washington, sometimes against.”
Visits to swing districts from national figures, strategists believe, can be useful in terms of generating voter registration and base enthusiasm. But Biden also recognizes that presidents are inherently polarizing, recalling previous cycles when Democrats wanted him on the trail rather than Obama.
Still, Biden has made clear that he’s been itching to be on the road more, even if not to appear with specific candidates. He believes that he is the best messenger to tout his administration’s work as well as take on what he has deemed as “MAGA Republicans.”
Still, the White House’s plan to get Biden on the road more has continued to happen in fits and starts. Last week, domestic politics took a backseat to international affairs, as Biden went to London for Queen Elizabeth’s funeral and then to New York for the United Nations General Assembly. Florida, which was called off due to an approaching hurricane, was the only political trip planned for the week.
Joe Biden says similar to views after the storming
With his party struggling in the midterms, his economic stewardship under fire and his overall job approval under 40%, a clear majority of Democrats in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll say the party should replace Joe Biden as its nominee for president in 2024.
In the November midterm election ahead, registered voters divide 47%-46% between the Republican and the Democratic candidate in their House district, historically not enough to prevent typical first-midterm losses. And one likely voter model has a 51%-46% Republican-Democratic split.
Biden struggles, as does his party, as most Democrats look elsewhere for 2024: POLL
https://www.postman.com/brigadirsambo
https://www.postman.com/docking-module-candidate-68974865
https://documenter.getpostman.com/view/23527209/2s83KadMZx
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-rick-and-morty-season-6-episode-4-online-on-adult-swim-1
https://techplanet.today/post/series-hdrick-and-morty-season-6-episode-4-watch-full-episodes-engsub
https://techplanet.today/post/hd-6-4-4
https://techplanet.today/post/watch-123movies-rick-and-morty-episode-4-s06e04-free-streaming-online
https://techplanet.today/post/hbo-max-watch-rick-and-morty-season-6-ep-4-episode-4-online-athome
https://techplanet.today/post/hbo-max-watch-rick-and-morty-season-6-episode-4-online-athome
https://techplanet.today/post/4-2022-1664082346
https://techplanet.today/post/4-1664082371
https://techplanet.today/post/full-episodes-4-series
https://techplanet.today/post/full-series-4
https://techplanet.today/post/watch-rick-and-morty-season-6-s6e4-episode-4-online-on-adult-swim
https://zenodo.org/communities/watch-rick-and-morty-season-6-episode-4-online-on-adult-swim/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/series-hdrick-and-morty-season-6-episode-4-watch-full-episodes-engsub/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/how-to-watch-rick-and-morty-season-6-episode-4/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/rick-and-morty-episode-4-s06e04-free-streaming/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/hbo-max-watch-rick-and-morty-season-6-ep-4-episode-4/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/watch-rick-and-morty-season-6-episode-4-online/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/123movies-rick-and-morty-episode-4-online/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/full-series-rick-and-morty-season-6-episode-4-online/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/full-episodes-rick-and-morty-season-6-episode-4-online/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/123movies-rick-and-morty-episode-4-free/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/watch-rick-and-morty-season-6-s6e4-episode-4-online-on-adult-swim/?page=1&size=20
Looking two years off, just 35% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents favor Biden for the 2024 nomination; 56% want the party to pick someone else.
Republicans and GOP-leaning independents, for their part, split 47%-46% on whether Donald Trump should be their 2024 nominee -- a 20-point drop for Trump compared with his 2020 nomination.
https://documenter.getpostman.com/view/23527209/2s83RtmHJE
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-episode-6-online-on-hbo-1
https://techplanet.today/post/series-hdhouse-of-the-dragon-season-1-episode-6-watch-full-episodes-engsub
https://techplanet.today/post/hd-house-of-the-dragon-1-6-6
https://techplanet.today/post/watch-123movies-house-of-the-dragon-episode-6-s01e06-free-streaming-online
https://techplanet.today/post/hbo-max-watch-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-ep-6-episode-6-online-athome
https://techplanet.today/post/hbo-max-watch-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-episode-6-online-athome
https://techplanet.today/post/house-of-the-dragon-1-6-2022
https://techplanet.today/post/full-series-house-of-the-dragon-1-6
https://techplanet.today/post/house-of-the-dragon-1-6
https://techplanet.today/post/full-episodes-house-of-the-dragon-1-6-series
https://techplanet.today/post/watch-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-s1e6-episode-6-online-on-hbo
https://zenodo.org/communities/watch-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-episode-6-online-on-hbo/
https://zenodo.org/communities/series-hdhouse-of-the-dragon-season-1-episode-6-watch-full-episodes-engsub/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/watch-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-episode-6-s1e6-online/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/watch-123movies-house-of-the-dragon-episode-6-s01e06-free-streaming/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/watch-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-ep-6-episode-6-online/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/watch-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-episode-6-online-athome/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/123movies-house-of-the-dragon-episode-6-free/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/full-episodes-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-episode-6/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/watch-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-s1e6-episode-6-online-on-hbo/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/123movies-house-of-the-dragon-episode-6-streaming/?page=1&size=20
https://zenodo.org/communities/full-series-house-of-the-dragon-season-1-episode-6-online/?page=1&size=20
The unpopularity of both figures may encourage third-party hopefuls, though they rarely do well.
https://documenter.getpostman.com/view/23527209/2s83RtmwoY
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-the-rings-of-power-season-1-episode-6-online-on-amazon-prime
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https://techplanet.today/post/hd-the-rings-of-power-1-6-6
https://techplanet.today/post/watch-123movies-the-rings-of-power-episode-6-s01e06-free-streaming-online
https://techplanet.today/post/hbo-max-watch-the-rings-of-power-season-1-ep-6-episode-6-online-athome
https://techplanet.today/post/hbo-max-watch-the-rings-of-power-season-1-episode-6-online-athome
https://techplanet.today/post/the-rings-of-power-1-6-2022
https://techplanet.today/post/full-series-the-rings-of-power-1-6
https://techplanet.today/post/the-rings-of-power-1-6
https://techplanet.today/post/full-episodes-the-rings-of-power-1-6-series
https://techplanet.today/post/watch-the-rings-of-power-season-1-s1e6-episode-6-online-on-amazonprime
In a head-to-head rematch, the poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds a 48%-46% Biden-Trump contest, essentially tied. Among registered voters, the numbers reverse to 46%-48%. That’s even while 52% of Americans say Trump should be charged with a crime in any of the matters in which he’s under federal investigation, similar to views after the storming of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6.
https://documenter.getpostman.com/view/23527209/2s83RtoHxc
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-she-hulk-attorney-at-law-season-1-episode-7-online-on-disney
https://techplanet.today/post/series-hdshe-hulk-attorney-at-law-season-1-episode-7-watch-full-episodes-engsub
https://techplanet.today/post/hd-she-hulk-attorney-at-law-1-7-7
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https://techplanet.today/post/hbo-max-watch-she-hulk-attorney-at-law-season-1-episode-7-online-athome
https://techplanet.today/post/she-hulk-attorney-at-law-1-6-2022
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-she-hulk-attorney-at-law-season-1-s1e7-episode-7-online-on-disney
See PDF for full results, charts and tables.
On issues, the survey finds broad opposition to the U.S. Supreme Court's ruling eliminating a constitutional right to abortion and a big Democratic advantage in trust to handle the issue. But there's no sign it's impacting propensity to vote in comparison with other issues: four rank higher in importance and two of them -- the economy, overall, and inflation, specifically -- work strongly in the GOP's favor.
https://documenter.getpostman.com/view/23527209/2s83RtodN2
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-see-season-3-episode-6-online-on-apple-tv
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https://techplanet.today/post/hd-see-3-6-6
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https://techplanet.today/post/see-3-6-2022
https://techplanet.today/post/full-series-see-3-6
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-see-season-3-s3e6-episode-6-online-on-apple-tv
Biden and the midterms
The president's standing customarily is critical to his party's fortunes in midterms -- and Biden is well under water. Thirty-nine percent of Americans approve of his job performance while 53% disapprove, about where he's been steadily the past year.
https://documenter.getpostman.com/view/23527209/2s83Rtoy9d
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-vampire-academy-season-1-episode-6-online-on-peacock
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https://techplanet.today/post/vampire-academy-1-6-2022
https://techplanet.today/post/full-series-vampire-academy-1-6
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https://techplanet.today/post/full-episodes-vampire-academy-1-6-series
https://techplanet.today/post/watch-vampire-academy-season-1-s1e6-episode-6-online-on-peacock
Specifically on the economy, with inflation near a 40-year high, his approval rating is 36% while 57% disapprove -- a 21-point deficit.
https://documenter.getpostman.com/view/23527209/2s83RtpJi1
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-star-wars-andor-season-1-episode-4-online-on-disney
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https://techplanet.today/post/star-wars-andor-1-4-2022
https://techplanet.today/post/full-series-star-wars-andor-1-4
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https://techplanet.today/post/full-episodes-star-wars-andor-1-4-series
https://techplanet.today/post/watch-star-wars-andor-season-1-s1e4-episode-4-online-on-disney
Each election has its own dynamic but in midterm elections since 1946, when a president has had more than 50% job approval, his party has lost an average of 14 seats. When the president's approval has been less than 50% -- as Biden's is by a considerable margin now -- his party has lost an average of 37 seats.
https://documenter.getpostman.com/view/23527209/2s83RvFbz6
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-the-rookie-season-5-episode-1-online-on-abc
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-the-rookie-season-5-s5e1-episode-1-online-on-abc
https://techplanet.today/post/the-rookie-5-1
There's one slightly better result for Biden: 40% say he's accomplished a great deal or a good amount as president, up from 35% last fall. This usually is a tepid measure; it's averaged 43% across four presidents in 11 previous polls since 1993.
https://documenter.getpostman.com/view/23527209/2s83RvGGR4
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-family-guy-season-21-episode-1-online-on-fox
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There's something else the Democrats can hang on to; their current results are better than last November, when the Republicans led in national House vote preferences by 10 percentage points, 51%-41% -- the largest midterm Republican lead in ABC/Post polls dating back 40 years.
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-bobs-burgers-season-13-episode-1-online-on-fox
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https://techplanet.today/post/bobs-burgers-13-1-2022
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It's true, too, that national House vote polling offers only a rough gauge of ultimate seats won or lost, in what, after all, are local races, influenced by incumbency, gerrymandering, candidate attributes and local as well as national issues.
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-the-simpsons-season-34-episode-1-online-on-fox-1
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https://techplanet.today/post/the-simpsons-34-1-2022
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https://techplanet.today/post/watch-the-simpsons-season-34-s34e1-episode-1-online-on-fox
Issues
The Democrats are not without ammunition in midterm campaigning: As noted, Americans broadly reject the U.S. Supreme Court ruling eliminating the constitutional right to an abortion -- 29% support it, with 64% opposed. (Indeed, 53% strongly oppose it, compared with 21% strongly in support.)
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And the public trusts the Democratic Party over the Republican Party to handle abortion by a wide 20 points. In another measure, while 31% say the Democratic Party is too permissive on abortion, many more, 50%, say the GOP is too restrictive.
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But if abortion keeps the Republicans from entirely nationalizing the election around the economy, it doesn't defang the public's economic discontent.
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Seventy-four percent say the economy is in bad shape, up from 58% in the spring after Biden took office. The GOP leads the Democrats by 16 points in trust to handle the economy overall and by 19 points in trust to handle inflation. Equally important, 84% call the economy a top issue in their vote for Congress and 76% say the same about inflation. Many fewer, 62%, call abortion a top issue.
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Other issues also differentiate the parties. In addition to the economy, the Republicans can be expected to focus on crime in the campaigns' closing weeks; they lead by 14 points in trust to handle it, and it's highly important to 69%.
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Democrats, in return, hold a wide 23-point advantage in trust to handle climate change, though it's highly important to far fewer, 50%.
The parties run closely on two other issues -- education and schools, Democrats +6, highly important to 77%; and immigration, essentially an even division, highly important to 61%.
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When these are assessed as a combination of importance and party preference, inflation and the economy top the list, followed by abortion, then climate change, crime, education and immigration.
While inflation, the economy and abortion are marquee issues, one stands out for another reason: The Republicans' 14-point advantage in trust to handle crime matches its largest since 1991. Among independents, it's a whopping 34-point GOP lead.
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More broadly, Americans divide evenly, 42-42%, on which party they trust more to cope with the main problems the country faces in the next few years. This compares with an average 5-point Democratic advantage on this question in more than 100 ABC/Post surveys since 1982.
https://mymediads.com/marketing_articles/154429
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https://westseattleblog.com/forums-2/users/biden-with-his-party/
https://active.popsugar.com/@biden-said-economic-stewardship-under-fire/profile
https://loop.frontiersin.org/people/2024254/bio
https://www.demilked.com/author/biden-said-registered-voters-divide-47-46/
https://teachers.net/jobs/author/biden-says-the-democratic-candidate/
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A comparison with the 2018 midterms is instructive: Then, the public by 55-39% preferred to see Congress controlled by the Democrats, to act as a check on Trump, than by the Republicans, to support Trump's agenda. Today, 48% prefer a Republican Congress, to act as a check on Biden; 45%, a Democratic one, to support his agenda.
The fact that the Democrats don't trail significantly in views on party control offers them some hope, as does their lead on the abortion issue. Historically, though, given lower turnout, the Democrats need an advantage, not just parity, in pre-election estimates.
https://elouise.cookpad-blog.jp/articles/746852
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https://demo.evolutionscript.com/forum/topic/144322-Joe-Biden-said-Issues-dont-substantively-differentiate-intended-turnout
https://ogloszenia.zycie.pl/ogloszenie/50653,biden-said-abortion-keeps-the-republicans-from-entirely-nationalizing/6
https://medium.com/@dyanahansen48/democrats-in-return-hold-a-wide-23-point-advantage-8614d4dcf1e8
https://open.firstory.me/story/cl8hoffda00jv01sl5q2z43w9
https://www.click4r.com/posts/g/6131934/joe-biden-said-seventy-four-percent-say-the-economy-is-in-bad-shape
Turnout
Seventy-two percent of registered voters say they're certain to vote in the congressional election in their district; slightly more, 76%, said so in October 2018, a year in which turnout hit a postwar high for a midterm.
In another gauge, 66% say voting in this election is more important to them than in past midterms, the same as in 2018.
Issues don't substantively differentiate intended turnout. For example, among registered voters who call abortion a top issue, 75% say they're certain to vote, while among those who call the economy a top issue, an almost-identical 74% say they'll vote.
Indeed, on abortion, supporters of the Supreme Court ruling are more apt than its critics to say voting is more important to them in this election than in previous midterms, 73% vs. 64%. Also, 76% of the ruling's supporters say they're certain to vote, as are 70% of its opponents.
Intention to turn out is influenced by other factors. Among all adults, it's considerably higher among whites -- 72% certain to vote -- than among Black people (55%) or Hispanics (46%) -- a result that advantages Republicans, whose support is strongest by far among whites.